I agree with your general outlook and most of your predictions. On #5 there's currently a lot of variation in how much we consider the welfare of animals, with dogs beloved and pigs neglected. I expect the same for AIs, probably some that interact a lot with humans will be likeable and will have their welfare considered, while those that are less relatable to humans will have their welfare ignored. I'm a bit less confident than you are on #6 just because a world where we're already seeing that much growth from AI is probably changing in a lot of other ways as well, making me more agnostic.
That tracks where I'm at with #5. Maybe #6 is just too high an increase in economic growth? Another issue there I suppose is that much of this growth would likely be highly unequal; which is especially the case if it happens very fast like this. Longer time frames may entail better percolation throughout the economy rather than just a few sectors which happen to be highly automatable, plus more time for government redistribution to occur.
I agree with your general outlook and most of your predictions. On #5 there's currently a lot of variation in how much we consider the welfare of animals, with dogs beloved and pigs neglected. I expect the same for AIs, probably some that interact a lot with humans will be likeable and will have their welfare considered, while those that are less relatable to humans will have their welfare ignored. I'm a bit less confident than you are on #6 just because a world where we're already seeing that much growth from AI is probably changing in a lot of other ways as well, making me more agnostic.
That tracks where I'm at with #5. Maybe #6 is just too high an increase in economic growth? Another issue there I suppose is that much of this growth would likely be highly unequal; which is especially the case if it happens very fast like this. Longer time frames may entail better percolation throughout the economy rather than just a few sectors which happen to be highly automatable, plus more time for government redistribution to occur.